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The big picture

Inflation is proving stickier than hoped, and central bankers are responding with a hawkish tilt. Fed Governor Waller explicitly left the door open to a hike if disinflation stalls, while the BoE's Pill argues against wait-and-see and prefers a higher Bank Rate. Their comments come as euro area producer prices rebound on energy costs, adding to the ECB's dilemma. The common thread is that major central banks are no longer confident that the last mile of disinflation is assured, keeping rate expectations sensitive to incoming data.

On the watchlist

  • On 2026-09-10, the ECB's policy decision will show whether the recent inflation data, including the euro area PPI rise, prompts a rate hike.
  • Watch the 10-year JGB yield: if it breaks above the level that would confirm Takata's view and signal further BOJ tightening.
  • The US August CPI report, due 2026-09-13, will be the key test for Waller's hike threat, with core PCE at 3.05% still above target.
  • Watch the Bank of England's September MPC meeting for any shift toward Pill's preferred rate of 4%.

Top stories

1Waller signals possible hike if disinflation stallsRates & Bonds

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Fed
3Fiscal risk steepens South African curvePDF · 34 pp.Rates & Bonds
SARB

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Deep dives

The heavy documents of the day — reports, studies and transcripts, analysed rather than merely summarised. One more ranked among the top stories above.

In brief

Everything else the public institutions published today: 74 items on 7 axes — what each axis adds up to, then its items by weight.

Rates & Bonds 26 items

Show all 26 items
Jackson Hole: Exploring the Financial Frontier — Liberty Street Economics (NY Fed)
Decisions from the Meeting on 03.09.2026 — Financial Supervision Commission (Bulgaria)
PROSPECTUS FOR 5-YEAR BOND SEPTEMBER 21, 2026 — Central Bank of The Gambia
Construction Cost Index for Dwellings, Q2 - 2026 — Institute of Statistics (Albania)

Equities & Sectors 1 item

Global situation of undertakings for collective investment at the end of July 2026 — Commission de surveillance du secteur financier (Luxembourg)

Commodities & Energy 5 items

Show all 5 items
Read article — KfW Bankengruppe
Dairy Products — USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (Today’s Reports)
15/09/2026 LSPA Systematic Survey of Agricultural Production — Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística (Brazil)

Regulation & Structure 14 items

Show all 14 items
CVM participates in the 9th National Meeting of ANFIDC — Comissão de Valores Mobiliários (Brazil)
Consultation from EBA on methodology for fines under MiCA — Financial Supervisory Authority of Norway
Marval Fast 2026 — Comisión Nacional de Valores (Argentina)

No direct market impact 22 items

Show all 22 items
Telecommunication Statistics in Indonesia 2025 — Badan Pusat Statistik (Indonesia) — API
Business insights and impact on the UK economy: 3 September 2026 — Office for National Statistics (United Kingdom)
Recommendation issued to Nichirin Co., Ltd. under the Subcontract Act — Ministry of Economy Trade and Industry (Japan)

A further 83 items were discarded as irrelevant for this audience.

Continued from the previous run, no material development (19)

CH: 0.00 SNBLZ 2026-09-03 SNB SNB policy rate · 2026-09-04 - Cash - Access to cash · Information on securities accepted as collateral for Bank of Russia loans as of 04.09.2026 · Result of the Overnight Variable Rate Reverse Repo (VRRR) auction held on September 03, 2026 · 9/3/2026 · Press release on the reopening of trading in Banque nationale de Belgique/Nationale bank van België (BNB/NBB) · Sanctions Notice - Russia · AU: 0.5239 SDR = 1 AUD 2026-09-03 RBA 4.00 pm Eastern Australian time · France: EIB renews support for Grand Paris Express with €3 billion financing agreement for western section of Metro Line 15 · Crown Office · U.S. LNG exports rose 23% in the first half of 2026 because of higher capacity · The 2026 Housing Statistics · and 7 more