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Market briefing · 2026-09-28 Monday · Preview

The BOJ holds its uncollateralized overnight call rate at 1% but trims monthly JGB purchases to ¥2.5trn, signalling faster hikes as services prices accelerate.

The big picture

The Bank of Japan's decision to keep its policy rate at 1% while cutting monthly JGB purchases to ¥2.5trn from ¥2.7trn marks a shift toward quantitative tightening even as it delays rate increases. Japan's services producer price index rose 3.7% year-on-year in August, with ocean freight transportation up 74.2%, a price pressure that the BOJ's own minutes flag as a reason the pace of hikes could be faster than the roughly six-month intervals the market prices. The RBI's net liquidity absorption of ₹−311,826 crore on September 25 and Nepal's month-long deposit auction both show Asian central banks draining cash to manage liquidity, but India's operation leaves banks dependent on the standing deposit facility rather than the interbank market, while Nepal's auction tightens lending capacity by counting toward the Liquidity Ratio but not the Cash Reserve Ratio.

On the watchlist

  • October 5: Japan's Ministry of Finance auctions short-dated borrowing for the Local Allocation Tax and Transfer Tax Grants, with settlement on October 16 and lump-sum repayment the following April.
  • October 26: The Federal Register comment deadline on Qualified Opportunity Fund reporting rules, extended from October 16, gives fund sponsors ten extra days to shape certification and decertification procedures.
  • The Bank of Japan's next policy meeting: watch whether the uncollateralized overnight call rate target moves to 1.25%, the level dissenter Takata proposed, or stays at 1%.
  • The RBI's next liquidity operation: watch whether net liquidity outstanding including today's operations moves further negative from ₹−460,705.24 crore or reverses as the standing deposit facility absorption at ₹218,132 crore changes.
  • Mongolia's third-quarter 2026 CPI release will matter if inflation lands at the pace the Bank of Mongolia's survey projects rather than undershooting toward the central bank's slightly lower end-of-2026 forecast.

What moved

Decisions & policy

1 piece · 1 more release

BOJ Holds Rate, Signals Faster HikesPDF

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— BoJ
Monetary Policy Note (June 2026) — Bank of the Republic of Haiti 2026-09-26

Data

3 pieces · 4 more releases

Issuance & auctions

3 pieces

Regulation & supervision

3 pieces · 1 more release

Speeches & research

1 piece

The week ahead

Dates named in today’s releases that fall within the next seven days · no model involved.

In brief

26 releases

Producer Price Index (Services) – June Quarter 2026 — Fiji Islands Bureau of Statistics 2026-09-28
PRODUCER PRICE INDEX (GOODS) – June Quarter 2026 — Fiji Islands Bureau of Statistics 2026-09-28
World Tourism Day 2026 — Maldives Bureau of Statistics 2026-09-27
World Tourism Day. Figures and facts — National Statistical Committee (Kyrgyzstan)
Show all 26 items
Migrant Profile Result of Socio-Economics National Survey 2025 — Statistics Indonesia (BPS) 2026-09-28
Activities of the Central Bureau of Statistics 2025 — Statistics Indonesia (BPS) 2026-09-25
Extension of the deadline for publishing half-yearly financial information – EGH Chaine El Aurassi SPA — Commission d'Organisation et de Surveillance des Opérations de Bourse (Algeria) 2026-09-27
Orange Tropical Cyclone POLO-26 in Mexico from: 21 Sep 2026 to: 26 Sep 2026 . — GDACS (UN/EU Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System) 2026-09-21
Orange Tropical Cyclone POLO-26 in Mexico from: 21 Sep 2026 to: 27 Sep 2026 — GDACS (UN/EU Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System) 2026-09-21
Services Guide — General Authority for Statistics (Saudi Arabia)