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Market briefing · 2026-09-21 Monday

The RBI absorbed ₹−331,731 crore in net liquidity, forcing banks to bid up term triparty repo to ₹512,947.3 crore.

The big picture

The RBI's liquidity absorption is not draining the system evenly: its overnight reverse repo took only ₹75,058 crore against a notified ₹100,000 crore, leaving banks to fund themselves in the interbank market, where term triparty repo volume reached ₹512,947.3 crore and the overnight segment traded at 5.02%. The same instrument choice — draining reserves without selling sovereign paper — appears in Libya's mudaraba certificates and Iraq's paired Islamic and conventional auctions, where the central bank transfer auction rate is 5.25%. Botswana's inflation at 9.3% and mining production index at 82.2 describe a supply shock that erodes the fiscal revenue base, a different mechanism from the liquidity operations but one that also pressures the sovereign spread. The SEC's proposal to rescind its shareholder-proposal rule and the Bank of Afghanistan's consolidated Islamic banking framework both reset the rules that determine which assets banks may hold, with the SEC comment window closing November 20, 2026.

On the watchlist

  • The RBI's next overnight variable rate reverse repo auction, after it accepted only ₹75,058 crore of the notified ₹100,000 crore on 2026-09-21.
  • Iraq's Islamic deposit certificates (ICD834) and central bank transfer auction (W526) settle on 2026-09-22, with the transfer auction rate at 5.25% and a minimum subscription of IQD 50bn.
  • The Bahamas' 15-day consultation on its PEP guidance note closes, determining onboarding costs for supervised institutions.
  • The SEC's comment period on rescinding the shareholder-proposal rule ends November 20, 2026.
  • Botswana's next inflation print, after August's 9.3%, tests whether the supply-side squeeze in mining persists.

Data

2 pieces · 1 more release

RBI drains liquidity as term repo volumes swell

Why it matters With net durable liquidity at ₹1,066,303 crore and the RBI running OMO sales alongside VRRR auctions, the marginal cost of overnight money is being pushed toward the MSF rate, steepening the front end of the sovereign curve for dealers carrying inventory.

The RBI absorbed ₹−331,731 crore in net liquidity from today's operations, with the standing deposit facility taking 5% and a three-day variable rate reverse repo absorbing funds at a 5.24% cut-off. The scale of absorption forces banks to bid up term triparty repo, where volume reached ₹512,947.3 crore, tightening the collateral chain that prices short-term government paper.

  • Overnight segment volume ₹12,740.38 crore 2026-09-18 · RBI
  • Overnight segment weighted average rate 5.02% 2026-09-18 · RBI
  • Marginal standing facility rate 5.5% 2026-09-18 · RBI
— RBI
Botswana inflation outpaces regional peers as mining lags

Why it matters With mining volumes at 82.2 and electricity generation at 214.5, the government's budget relies on diamond receipts that are not keeping pace with price growth, forcing either expenditure cuts or higher borrowing at a time when inflation limits the central bank's room to ease.

Botswana's inflation rate reached 9.3% in August, while the mining production index stood at 82.2 in the first quarter, signalling a supply-side squeeze in the economy's dominant export sector. The combination of elevated consumer prices and weak mining output erodes the fiscal revenue base that services the country's debt, pressuring the pula and the sovereign spread.

Evolution of the bank DEPOSIT market in August 2026 — Inflation target 5% — National Bank of Moldova 2026-09-18

Issuance & auctions

3 pieces · 4 more releases

RBI's overnight drain falls short of its own ceiling

Why it matters A shortfall of +₹24,942 crore against the notified amount signals the banking system had less surplus liquidity to sterilise than the RBI's ceiling assumed, which softens the overnight money-market floor that anchors the front end of the sovereign curve.

The Reserve Bank of India accepted ₹75,058 crore in its overnight Variable Rate Reverse Repo auction against a notified ₹100,000 crore, with offers received matching the accepted amount and no partial acceptance at the cut-off. The cut-off and weighted average rate both printed at 5.24%, leaving banks holding the balance of the notified amount in the interbank market rather than parking it with the central bank.

  • Total offers received ₹75,058 crore 2026-09-21 · RBI
  • Weighted average rate 5.24% 2026-09-21 · RBI
— RBI
Libya reopens mudaraba certificate channel to banks

Why it matters For holders of Libyan dinar exposure, the continued issuance of mudaraba certificates is the main non-T-bill route for the central bank to manage liquidity, and its regularity is what keeps short-dated local-currency funding costs from drifting.

The Central Bank of Libya has invited commercial banks to subscribe to a new issue of absolute-mudaraba deposit certificates, applying the procedures and controls approved in previous issues and the maturities set out in the subscription announcement. The reopening keeps a standing dinar liquidity-absorption instrument in the market, letting the central bank drain bank reserves without selling sovereign paper.

Iraq pairs Islamic and conventional liquidity auctions

Why it matters The 5.25% rate on the conventional transfer auction sets the effective floor for dinar money-market pricing, and the IQD 50bn deposit threshold forces banks to keep private-sector lending on their books to qualify — a structural constraint on how much liquidity they can park at the central bank.

The Central Bank of Iraq announced Islamic deposit certificates (ICD834) with a 7 days maturity for execution on 22 September 2026, alongside a central bank transfer auction (W526) at 5.25%, both requiring participating banks to hold private-sector dinar deposits above IQD 50bn and capping subscriptions at IQD 500bn. Running the two facilities on the same settlement date lets the central bank drain liquidity from Islamic and conventional banks on identical terms.

2026-09-18 - Issued SNB Bills — The Swiss National Bank published its register of issued SNB Bills — SNB 2026-09-18
Result of Treasury Bill Auction Issue No. 264 (364 days) — Auction yield, 364-day bill 1% (2026-09-14) — Bank of Guyana
Government Treasury Bills Issue No. G265 (364 days) — Estimated face value of issue GYD 3.1bn (2026-09-25) — Bank of Guyana
Government Treasury Bill Issue No. 782 (91 days) — Estimated face value of issue GYD 20bn (2026-09-25) — Bank of Guyana

Regulation & supervision

3 pieces · 5 more releases

SEC Moves to End Federal Shareholder Proposal RuleLongread

Why it matters If adopted, the substantive exclusion bases that govern shareholder proposals give way to State law and company governing documents, forcing proxy advisers and issuers to rebuild omission analysis around a standard that is frequently undeveloped or silent.

The SEC proposes to rescind its shareholder-proposal rule outright, arguing the Exchange Act's proxy-solicitation provision does not authorize it to regulate the scope of matters put to shareholders, and to amend the rule on discretionary voting authority so companies gain that authority over proposals omitted from their proxy materials. Comments on the Federal Register release are due by November 20, 2026, a date that fixes the window in which governance and proxy-service providers must reprice the inclusion baseline.

Afghanistan consolidates Islamic banking rulebook

Why it matters The capital adequacy and enforcement regulations define the loss-absorption capacity of Afghanistan's Islamic banks, directly shaping their appetite for sovereign and public-sector paper.

The Bank of Afghanistan has published its full Islamic banking regulatory framework, spanning capital adequacy, profit distribution, asset classification and Shariah governance for both full-fledged Islamic banks and conventional windows. For a banking system where Shariah-compliant assets are the core of the sector, the framework's capital and enforcement provisions set the loss-absorption rules that determine how much sovereign paper these banks can hold.

Bahamas opens PEP guidance consultation

Why it matters The final guidance will set the compliance burden for Bahamian banks' PEP onboarding, affecting their cost base and correspondent banking relationships.

The Central Bank of The Bahamas has issued its Guidance Note on the Treatment of Politically Exposed Persons for a 15 days consultation period, expanding on existing anti-money-laundering requirements with FATF and Wolfsberg-based risk factors. Supervised financial institutions must apply a risk-based approach to domestic PEPs, and the finalised note will determine onboarding costs and de-risking exposure for banks operating in the jurisdiction.

Proxy Solicitation Modernization — Minimum broker search period (current) 20 business days — U.S. Federal Register (Financial Regulation) 2026-09-21
Guidelines to Assess the Fitness and Propriety of Compliance Officers, Industry Consultation — Consultation period 15 days (2026) — Central Bank of The Bahamas
Press Release: Guidance Note for Participation in the Regulatory Sandbox Industry Consultation — Consultation period 15 days (2026) — Central Bank of The Bahamas
Press Release: Basel III Large Exposure Framework — Consultation period 60 days (2026) — Central Bank of The Bahamas
Circulars — The page is an index of circulars issued by Da Afghanistan Bank — Bank of Afghanistan

Speeches & research

2 pieces · 3 more releases

Bahamas growth cools as reserves build

Why it matters Slower credit growth and falling delinquencies reduce the domestic demand pressure that drains reserves, so the central bank can hold its peg without tightening — a repricing risk only if US tariff pass-through lifts inflation and forces a defensive stance.

The Central Bank of The Bahamas estimates growth slowed to 3% in 2025 from 3.4% in 2024, still above its medium-term potential, while external reserves reached $2.9bn at the start of February 2026. Private sector credit growth moderated to 5.5% from 6.1%, and the delinquency rate fell to 5% from 5.5%, keeping the accommodative stance intact for a fixed exchange rate regime.

Bahamas reserves surge on stronger FX inflows

Why it matters The wider purchase-versus-sale gap and the stronger seasonal build-up give the central bank more room to defend the peg without raising rates, but the Middle East oil spike feeding imported costs is the channel that could reverse the reserve gain.

In the first quarter of 2026 commercial banks' FX purchases rose 12.6% to $2.3bn while sales expanded 14.2% to $2bn, and the seasonal reserve build-up of $270m lifted external reserves to $3.2bn from $2.8bn a year earlier. The non-performing loans rate fell to 5% from 6%, and the central bank will keep policy accommodating while protecting the fixed exchange rate.

Remarks by Governor John Rolle Quarterly Press Briefing 2nd Quarter 2026 — GDP growth 3.8% (2025) — Central Bank of The Bahamas
One dollar, many prices: dealer-specific pricing of synthetic dollar funding — Dealer-specific price dispersion, standard deviation 4bp — BoE 2026-09-18
Opening Remarks by Governor John Rolle for the 7th Annual Bahamas Research Conference on Financial Crime — Distinguished guests included FATF President Elisa de Anda Madrazo — Central Bank of The Bahamas

The week ahead

Dates named in today’s releases that fall within the next seven days · no model involved.

2026-09-22 Announcement of the auction of Islamic deposit certificates and Central Bank transfers — Central bank transfer auction rate 5.25% · Minimum subscription amount IQD 50bn · Maximum subscription amount IQD 500bn — Central Bank of Iraq
2026-09-25 Government Treasury Bills Issue No. G265 (364 days) — Estimated face value of issue GYD 3.1bn — Bank of Guyana
2026-09-25 Government Treasury Bill Issue No. 782 (91 days) — Estimated face value of issue GYD 20bn — Bank of Guyana

In brief

62 releases

MIEG – May 2026 — MIEG growth, y/y 3.1% (2026-05) — Maldives Bureau of Statistics 2026-09-17
MIEG – April 2026 — MIEG growth, y/y −2.8% (2026-04) — Maldives Bureau of Statistics 2026-09-17
MIEG – June 2026 — MIEG growth, y/y 3.2% (2026-06) — Maldives Bureau of Statistics 2026-09-17
Central Bank statement regarding the adequacy of foreign reserves — The Central Bank of Iraq declared that its foreign reserves are sufficient to meet all demand for foreign… — Central Bank of Iraq
EIB Advisory supports advancing sustainable and resilient water infrastructure in Thessaloniki — Water projects under implementation €3.4bn (2026) — EIB 2026-09-18
Show all 62 items
2024 Updated Input-Output Tables — The Bank of Korea has published the 2024 Updated Input-Output Tables — Bank of Korea (BOK) 2026-09-21
Director General Participated in the Panel Discussion 'Equal Pay Day: The Power of Transparency' — Average monthly net wage, women €1.51k (2026-Q2) — Croatian Bureau of Statistics
MIEG – July 2026 — MIEG, y/y 2.8% (2026-07) — Maldives Bureau of Statistics 2026-09-17
Analysis of the volume of cash operations in national currency in August 2026 — Cash receipts at bank vaults MDL 16.99bn (2026-08) — National Bank of Moldova 2026-09-18
Regional Overview Based on 2021-2025 GDRP (Provinces at Nusa Tenggara, Maluku, and Papua Island) — GRDP growth rate, Lombok Timur 4.93% (2025) — Statistics Indonesia (BPS) 2026-09-15
Regional Overview Based on 2021-2025 GDRP (Provinces at Sulawesi Island) — Agriculture share of GRDP, Sulawesi Utara 20.78% (2025) — Statistics Indonesia (BPS) 2026-09-15
Regional Overview Based on 2021-2025 GDRP (Provinces at Kalimantan Island) — Publication volume 18 (2026) — Statistics Indonesia (BPS) 2026-09-15
Regional Overview Based on 2021-2025 GDRP (Provinces at Sumatera Island) — Agriculture share of GRDP 32.74% (2025) — Statistics Indonesia (BPS) 2026-09-15
Profile of Micro and Small Industry 2025 — Manufacturing contribution to GDP 19.07% (2025) — Statistics Indonesia (BPS) 2026-09-15
Regional Overview Based on 2021-2025 GDRP (Provinces at Jawa and Bali Island) — Volume 18 (2026) — Statistics Indonesia (BPS) 2026-09-15
Remarks by Deputy Governor Derek Rolle T. Baswell Donaldson Research Seminar 2026 — Deputy Governor Derek Rolle addressed the 2026 T. Baswell Donaldson Research Seminar — Central Bank of The Bahamas
Speech by the Deputy Governor for Financial Stability on Law Day — Tómas Brynjólfsson, Deputy Governor for Financial Stability of the Central Bank of Iceland — Financial Supervisory Authority (Iceland)
Information on securities accepted as collateral for Bank of Russia loans as of 21.09.2026 — Collateral price, % of nominal 98.31% (2026-09-21) — CBR 2026-09-20
Manufacturing and Trade Inventories and Sales — The Manufacturing and Trade Inventories and Sales (MTIS) report combines data from three surveys — Census 2026-09-16
New Residential Construction — The New Residential Construction release provides national — Census 2026-09-17
Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services — The Advance Monthly and Monthly Retail Trade Surveys (MARTS — Census 2026-09-16
Press Release: The Central Bank of The Bahamas Dispels Claims of Impending U.S. Sanctions on a Domestic Bank — The Central Bank of The Bahamas has rejected — Central Bank of The Bahamas
Press Release: Montran Corporation Selected to Provide The Bahamas' Fast Payment System Solution — RFP responses received 16 (2025) — Central Bank of The Bahamas
John Rolle Reappointed as Governor of the Central Bank — The Central Bank of The Bahamas announced the reappointment of John A. Rolle — Central Bank of The Bahamas
Press Release: The Bahamas Financial Stability Council Progresses 2026 — The Bahamas Financial Stability Council held its second meeting of 2026 on 17 June 2026 — Central Bank of The Bahamas
President Otto Lobo and Director Igor Muniz are presented to the market at a ceremony at the CVM — The Brazilian Securities and Exchange Commission (CVM) officially presented its President Otto Lobo — Comissão de Valores Mobiliários (Brazil)
Meeting of the governors of the region's central banks — Georgian Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze opened the meeting — National Bank of Georgia
Warrants Under the Royal Sign Manual — The King has appointed Paul Nowak as a non-executive director of the Bank of England for a period of four… — The Gazette (UK) 2026-09-18
2022 Population Census — Statistics Botswana announced preliminary results of the 2022 Population — Statistics Botswana
Notice of variation of Guardrisk Microinsurance Limited licensing conditions — The South African Reserve Bank, through CEO Fundi Tshazibana — SARB 2026-09-18
Privacy Act Regulations — The original notice of proposed rulemaking was published on May 6 — U.S. Federal Register (Financial Regulation) 2026-09-21
Register for the Sanctions Commission Conference before 30 September — The AMF Sanctions Commission will hold a conference — Autorité des marchés financiers (France)
Public Awareness — public interest is at the forefront of its core values — Bank of Afghanistan
Vacancies — Contract length 2 years (2026) — Bank of Afghanistan
Press Release: Initial Fast Payment System Study & Participant Workshop — The study included a two-day participant workshop bringing together key stakeholders — Central Bank of The Bahamas
Press Release: Bahamas Financial Stability Council Convenes its First Meeting for 2026 — The Bahamas Financial Stability Council held its first meeting of 2026 — Central Bank of The Bahamas
Press Release: Island Dreamer by Giveton Gelin — The Arts and Culture Program of the Central Bank of The Bahamas is presenting "Island Dreamer" — Central Bank of The Bahamas
Press Release: Financial Literacy Student Seminar 2026 — The Central Bank of The Bahamas will hold its Financial Literacy Student Seminar on 20 April 2026 from 9:30… — Central Bank of The Bahamas
Press Release: Announcement of 2026 T. Baswell Donaldson Research Competition — Top research prize $20k (2026) — Central Bank of The Bahamas
Press Release: Central Bank of The Bahamas Supports Venice Art Biennale, Italy — The Central Bank of The Bahamas is supporting The Bahamas' representation at the Venice Art Biennale in Italy… — Central Bank of The Bahamas
Nadia Linciano's term as Consob General Secretary renewed — Consob's Commission renewed Nadia Linciano's appointment — Commissione Nazionale per le Società e la Borsa (Italy)
International Trade — The page is a section of the National Statistics Institute of Angola (INE) website headed International Trade — Instituto Nacional de Estatística (Angola)
Population and Society — The page is a navigation section of Angola's National Institute of Statistics (INE) on population — Instituto Nacional de Estatística (Angola)
National Statistical Committee staff took part in the National Cleanliness Day — Staff of the National Statistical Committee of Kyrgyzstan took part in a nationwide clean-up day held across… — National Statistical Committee (Kyrgyzstan)
Introduction — Statistics Botswana is a parastatal organisation responsible for collecting — Statistics Botswana
Data Portal — Statistics Botswana operates web-based data platforms that organise — Statistics Botswana
Catalogue — Statistics Botswana published its catalogue of publications covering the years 2016 through 2025 — Statistics Botswana
Indicators Calendar — Non-diamond mining export value as % of total mineral export 20% — Statistics Botswana
Infographics — The page describes Statistics Botswana's web-based data platforms used to organise — Statistics Botswana
Indonesian Standard Classification of Occupation (ISCO) 2026 — ISCO revision cycle 20 years — Statistics Indonesia (BPS) 2026-09-18
Deputy Lieutenant Commissions — The Lord-Lieutenant of Perth and Kinross — The Gazette (UK) 2026-09-18
Akwasi BOAMPONG — The notice records his status as formerly in bankruptcy — The Gazette (UK) 2026-09-19
Notices under the Trustee Act 1925 — The notice concerns the pension plan of Europrint Holdings Limited — The Gazette (UK) 2026-09-18
Notices under the Trustee Act 1925 — A notice under the Trustee Act 1925 concerns The National Pig Development Company Limited Retirement Benefits… — The Gazette (UK) 2026-09-18
David Evans — A deceased estates notice published in The Gazette on 19 September 2026 concerns David Keith Evans — The Gazette (UK) 2026-09-19
Other Notices — Payment into court £2.5k (2026-09-08) — The Gazette (UK) 2026-09-18
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