The big picture
Indonesia's trade balance swung to a deficit in June as oil and gas exports plunged to $1.07bn, while imports surged to $25.91bn, reversing the surplus of previous months. The deterioration stems from the same energy shock that is reshaping the country's external position, with the oil and gas sector dragging down overall exports even as manufacturing and ICT show resilience. Meanwhile, the IRS finalized rules narrowing the car loan interest deduction, a regulatory shift that will reduce the tax benefit for US consumers and could temper demand for auto loans.
On the watchlist
- Bank Indonesia's next policy decision on 2026-09-17, watching for any shift in the rate stance as the trade deficit widens.
- Indonesia's July 2026 trade balance release, due 2026-09-15, to see if the deficit persists or narrows.
- Ecuador's central bank monthly external sector data for July 2026, due 2026-09-30, to check if the trade balance deteriorates further.
- The IRS final regulations take effect on 2026-11-09, with lender reporting requirements beginning then.
Top stories
1Indonesia's Exports Slip as Oil and Gas PlungePDF · 498 pp.Follow-upFX & Emerging Markets
2IRS finalizes car loan interest deduction rulesLongreadRates & Bonds
3Ecuadorian exports reached a record USD 10.177 billion in the second quarter of 2026★ Barely reportedFX & Emerging Markets
4Indonesia's ICT sector grows while fixed-line fadesPDF · 186 pp.Follow-upEquities & Sectors
In brief
Rates & Bonds 2 items
Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the Republic of Uzbekistan for August 2026 — State Committee on Statistics (Uzbekistan)
Clearing Requirement Determination Under Section 2(h) of the Commodity Exchange Act for Interest Rate Swaps To Account for CAD and MXN Interest Rate Benchmark Transitions — U.S. Federal Register (Financial Regulation)
Regulation & Structure 2 items
Commission — Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission
Enforcement Actions — Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission
No direct market impact 2 items
Governor Sejko participates in the conference on the occasion of the 25th anniversary of the founding of the Central Bank of Montenegro — Bank of Albania
Orange Eruption Krakatau in Indonesia at: 04 Sep 2026 21:00. — GDACS (UN/EU Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System)