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The big picture

Indonesia's trade balance swung to a deficit in June as oil and gas exports plunged to $1.07bn, while imports surged to $25.91bn, reversing the surplus of previous months. The deterioration stems from the same energy shock that is reshaping the country's external position, with the oil and gas sector dragging down overall exports even as manufacturing and ICT show resilience. Meanwhile, the IRS finalized rules narrowing the car loan interest deduction, a regulatory shift that will reduce the tax benefit for US consumers and could temper demand for auto loans.

On the watchlist

  • Bank Indonesia's next policy decision on 2026-09-17, watching for any shift in the rate stance as the trade deficit widens.
  • Indonesia's July 2026 trade balance release, due 2026-09-15, to see if the deficit persists or narrows.
  • Ecuador's central bank monthly external sector data for July 2026, due 2026-09-30, to check if the trade balance deteriorates further.
  • The IRS final regulations take effect on 2026-11-09, with lender reporting requirements beginning then.

Top stories

1Indonesia's Exports Slip as Oil and Gas PlungePDF · 498 pp.Follow-upFX & Emerging Markets

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In brief

Everything else the public institutions published today: 6 items on 3 axes — what each axis adds up to, then its items by weight.

Regulation & Structure 2 items

Commission — Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission
Enforcement Actions — Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission

No direct market impact 2 items

A further 13 items were discarded as irrelevant for this audience.

Continued from the previous run, no material development (6)

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